Empirical Investigation of Continuous Logit for Departure Time Choice with Bayesian Methods

作者: Jason D. Lemp , Kara M. Kockelman

DOI: 10.3141/2165-07

关键词: LogitMixed logitBayes estimatorRegression analysisStatisticsBayesian probabilityDiscrete choiceLogistic regressionOrdinary least squaresComputer scienceEconometricsMechanical engineeringCivil and Structural Engineering

摘要: Numerous models of travel timing have been calibrated and reported in the literature. Some studies treated time as a discrete variable by using familiar choice methods, whereas others continuous fashion. Both approaches offer distinct advantages. Here logit model work tour departure is estimated; this offers advantage continuous-time response. A random utility maximization structure used to capitalize on key advantages both main modeling timing. Bayesian techniques are estimate parameters, estimation results suggest variety predictive densities for times across different individuals. In addition, ordinary least squares regression their variance day auto transit modes. These network variables inform time. The meaningful multiple applications, can readily be extended two-dimensional construct, such that return modeled simultaneously. allow function take any number forms, which may greater ability.

参考文章(30)
Moshe Ben-Akiva, Nicolaos Litinas, Koji Tsunokawa, Continuous spatial choice: The continuous logit model and distributions of trips and urban densities Transportation Research Part A: General. ,vol. 19, pp. 119- 154 ,(1985) , 10.1016/0191-2607(85)90022-6
Chandra R. Bhat, Jennifer L. Steed, A continuous-time model of departure time choice for urban shopping trips Transportation Research Part B-methodological. ,vol. 36, pp. 207- 224 ,(2002) , 10.1016/S0191-2615(00)00047-3
Jennifer L. Steed, Chandra R. Bhat, ON MODELING DEPARTURE-TIME CHOICE FOR HOME-BASED SOCIAL/RECREATIONAL AND SHOPPING TRIPS Transportation Research Record. ,vol. 1706, pp. 152- 159 ,(2000) , 10.3141/1706-18
Aki Vehtari, David B. Dunson, Andrew Gelman, Hal S. Stern, Donald B. Rubin, John B. Carlin, Bayesian Data Analysis ,(1995)
Anthony T.H. Chin, Influences on commuter trip departure time decisions in Singapore Transportation Research Part A: General. ,vol. 24, pp. 321- 333 ,(1990) , 10.1016/0191-2607(90)90045-8
Mark D. Abkowitz, An analysis of the commuter departure time decision Transportation. ,vol. 10, pp. 283- 297 ,(1981) , 10.1007/BF00148464
James Jixian Wang, Timing utility of daily activities and its impact on travel Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice. ,vol. 30, pp. 189- 206 ,(1996) , 10.1016/0965-8564(95)00023-2
Dick Ettema, Olu Ashiru, John W. Polak, MODELING TIMING AND DURATION OF ACTIVITIES AND TRIPS IN RESPONSE TO ROAD-PRICING POLICIES Transportation Research Record. ,vol. 1894, pp. 1- 10 ,(2004) , 10.3141/1894-01
Kenneth A. Small, A Discrete Choice Model for Ordered Alternatives Econometrica. ,vol. 55, pp. 409- 424 ,(1987) , 10.2307/1913243