Long Memory in the Greek Stock Market

作者: John T. Barkoulas , Christopher F. Baum , Nickolaos G. Travlos

DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.33672

关键词: Capital marketLong memoryLinear modelEconomicsFinancial economicsStock (geology)Stock market bubbleStock marketSpectral regression

摘要: We test for stochastic long memory in the Greek stock market, an emerging capital market. The fractional differencing parameter is estimated using spectral regression method. Contrary to findings major markets, significant and robust evidence of positive long-term persistence found As compared benchmark linear models, models provide improved out-of-sample forecasting accuracy returns series over longer horizons.

参考文章(19)
Andrew W. Lo, Andrew W. Lo, Long-Term Memory in Stock Market Prices Social Science Research Network. ,(1989)
Christos Agiakloglou, Paul Newbold, Mark Wohar, BIAS IN AN ESTIMATOR OF THE FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCE PARAMETER Journal of Time Series Analysis. ,vol. 14, pp. 235- 246 ,(1993) , 10.1111/J.1467-9892.1993.TB00141.X
John Barkoulas, Nickolaos Travlos, Chaos in an emerging capital market? The case of the Athens Stock Exchange Applied Financial Economics. ,vol. 8, pp. 231- 243 ,(1998) , 10.1080/096031098332998
Yin-Wong Cheung, TESTS FOR FRACTIONAL INTEGRATION: A MONTE CARLO INVESTIGATION Journal of Time Series Analysis. ,vol. 14, pp. 331- 345 ,(1993) , 10.1111/J.1467-9892.1993.TB00149.X
Yin-Wong Cheung, Kon S. Lai, A search for long memory in international stock market returns Journal of International Money and Finance. ,vol. 14, pp. 597- 615 ,(1995) , 10.1016/0261-5606(95)93616-U
Nuno Crato, Some international evidence regarding the stochastic memory of stock returns Applied Financial Economics. ,vol. 4, pp. 33- 39 ,(1994) , 10.1080/758522123
Francis X. Diebold, Peter Lindner, Fractional integration and interval prediction Economics Letters. ,vol. 50, pp. 305- 313 ,(1996) , 10.1016/0165-1765(95)00772-5
John Geweke, Susan Porter-Hudak, THE ESTIMATION AND APPLICATION OF LONG MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS Journal of Time Series Analysis. ,vol. 4, pp. 221- 238 ,(1983) , 10.1111/J.1467-9892.1983.TB00371.X
C. W. J. Granger, Roselyne Joyeux, AN INTRODUCTION TO LONG-MEMORY TIME SERIES MODELS AND FRACTIONAL DIFFERENCING Journal of Time Series Analysis. ,vol. 1, pp. 15- 29 ,(1980) , 10.1111/J.1467-9892.1980.TB00297.X