Development of Economic Consequence Methodology for Process Risk Analysis

作者: Omid Zadakbar , Faisal Khan , Syed Imtiaz

DOI: 10.1111/RISA.12313

关键词: Process (engineering)Taguchi methodsRisk analysisRisk assessmentConsequence analysisRisk managementFunction (engineering)EngineeringIdentification (information)Risk analysis (engineering)

摘要: A comprehensive methodology for economic consequence analysis with appropriate models risk of process systems is proposed. This uses loss functions to relate deviations in a given scenario losses. It consists four steps: definition scenario, identification losses, quantification and integration In this methodology, the that contribute accident are identified mapped assess potential consequences. Losses assessed an function (revised Taguchi, modified inverted normal) each type loss. The total quantified by integrating different functions. proposed has been examined on two industrial case studies. Implementation new quantitative assessment will provide better understanding risk. improve design, decision making, management strategies.

参考文章(21)
Fred A. Spiring, Anthony S. Yeung, A General Class of Loss Functions with Industrial Applications Journal of Quality Technology. ,vol. 30, pp. 152- 162 ,(1998) , 10.1080/00224065.1998.11979834
Michael Greenberg, Charles Haas, Anthony Cox, Karen Lowrie, Katherine McComas, Warner North, Ten most important accomplishments in risk analysis, 1980-2010. Risk Analysis. ,vol. 32, pp. 771- 781 ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.1539-6924.2012.01817.X
Carol Alexander, José María Sarabia, Quantile uncertainty and value-at-risk model risk Risk Analysis. ,vol. 32, pp. 1293- 1308 ,(2012) , 10.1111/J.1539-6924.2012.01824.X
R. Pula, F.I. Khan, B. Veitch, P.R. Amyotte, A Grid Based Approach for Fire and Explosion Consequence Analysis Process Safety and Environmental Protection. ,vol. 84, pp. 79- 91 ,(2006) , 10.1205/PSEP.05063
Faisal I Khan, S.A Abbasi, Techniques and methodologies for risk analysis in chemical process industries Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries. ,vol. 11, pp. 261- 277 ,(1998) , 10.1016/S0950-4230(97)00051-X
Faisal I. Khan, Paul R. Amyotte, Modeling of BP Texas City refinery incident Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries. ,vol. 20, pp. 387- 395 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.JLP.2007.04.037
S.N. Jonkman, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder, J.K. Vrijling, An overview of quantitative risk measures for loss of life and economic damage. Journal of Hazardous Materials. ,vol. 99, pp. 1- 30 ,(2003) , 10.1016/S0304-3894(02)00283-2
Moizés Martins Junior, Marcello Silva e Santos, Mario Cesar R. Vidal, Paulo Victor R. de Carvalho, Overcoming the blame game to learn from major accidents: A systemic analysis of an Anhydrous Ammonia leakage accident Journal of Loss Prevention in The Process Industries. ,vol. 25, pp. 33- 39 ,(2012) , 10.1016/J.JLP.2011.06.026
Supratik Kar, Kunal Roy, QSAR modeling of toxicity of diverse organic chemicals to Daphnia magna using 2D and 3D descriptors. Journal of Hazardous Materials. ,vol. 177, pp. 344- 351 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.JHAZMAT.2009.12.038