Spatial analysis of the risk of multiple cancers in relation to a petrochemical plant

作者: Crescenza Calculli , Alessio Pollice , Maria Serinelli

DOI: 10.1002/ENV.1138

关键词: Bayesian inferenceEconometricsSpatial variabilityConfoundingEnvironmental scienceRisk factor (computing)StatisticsLogistic regressionMarkov chain Monte CarloParametric statisticsEnvironmental epidemiology

摘要: In Environmental Epidemiology studies, the effects of presence a source pollution on population health can be evaluated by models that consider distance from as possible risk factor. We introduce hierarchical Bayesian model in order to investigate association between multiple pathologies and single source. Our approach provides possibility incorporate spatial other confounding factors within logistic regression model. Spatial are decomposed into sum disease-specific parametric component accounting for point common semi-parametric interpreted residual variation. The is applied data case–control study evaluate incidence different cancers with residential location neighborhood petrochemical plant Brindisi area (Italy). Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

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