Past and Projected Changes in Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Exposure

摘要: AbstractThe average latitude where tropical cyclones (TCs) reach their peak intensity has been observed to be shifting poleward in some regions over the past 30 years, apparently concert with independently expansion of belt. This migration is particularly well and robust western North Pacific Ocean (WNP). Such a expected cause systematic changes, both increases decreases, regional hazard exposure risk, if it persists through present century. Here, shown that WNP coincided decreased TC region Philippine South China Seas, including Marianas, Philippines, Vietnam, southern China, increased East Sea, Japan its Ryukyu Islands, Korea Peninsula, parts eastern China. Additionally, projections TCs simulated by, downscaled from, an ensemble...