Spatiotemporal Distribution of Human─Elephant Conflict in Eastern Thailand: A Model-Based Assessment using News Reports and Remotely Sensed Data

摘要: In Thailand, crop depredation by wild elephants intensified, impacting the quality of life local communities and long-term conservation elephant populations. Yet, fewer studies explore landscape-scale spatiotemporal distribution human–elephant conflict (HEC). this study, we modeled potential HEC in ten provinces adjacent to protected areas Eastern Thailand from 2009 2018. We applied time-calibrated maximum entropy method relative probability varying scenarios resource suitability direct human pressure wet dry seasons. The environmental dynamic over 10-year period was represented remotely sensed vegetation, meteorological drought, topographical, human-pressure data. Results were categorized zones using proposed two-dimensional matrix. Logistic regression determine relevant contribution each scenario. results showed that although varied across seasons, overall HEC-prone expanded all largest estimated during seasons with Chantaburi, Chonburi, Nakhon Ratchasima, Rayong being hotspots.However, reduced severe prolonged droughts caused El Nino events. Direct a more gradual increase around areas. On other hand, large variation recommend zone-dependent management actions towards fine-balance between development elephants.