The Application of Seasonal to Interannual Climate Forecasts Based on El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Events: Australia, Brazil, Ethiopia, Peru, and Zimbabwe

作者: Benjamin S Orlove , Joshua L. Tosteson

DOI:

关键词: El NiñoClimatologyTropical pacificEl Niño Southern OscillationClimate changeSouthern oscillationGeography

摘要: In this paper we present case studies of the efforts five nations, Australia, Brazil, Ethiopia, Peru, and Zimbabwe, to use climate forecasts based on El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) system plan in advance anticipated anomalous climatic states. We treat variable among these nations as a problem “fit” between nature ENSO, persistent variability ocean–atmosphere tropical Pacific which produces at local regional scales around world, human institutions actors that make forecasts. Our examination patterns indicates constraints suggests opportunities for useful application future.

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