A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves
作者： Gerardo Chowell , Amna Tariq , James M. Hyman
DOI: 10.1186/S12916-019-1406-6
关键词: Medicine 、 Wave model 、 Prediction interval 、 Interval (mathematics) 、 Outbreak 、 Trajectory 、 Econometrics 、 Damped oscillations 、 Overdispersion 、 Term (time)
摘要: … In this process, we also systematically compare the goodness of fit and the forecasting performance of the sub-epidemic wave model with that of simpler growth models. …
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