Time-series analysis of excess mercury in China

作者: Habuer , Yingjun Zhou , Masaki Takaoka

DOI: 10.1007/S10163-018-0712-Y

关键词: Environmental protectionChinaScenario analysisMercury (element)Minamata Convention on MercurySupply and demandEnvironmental scienceTime series

摘要: In October 2013, China signed the Minamata Convention on Mercury as 30th signatory state, and its implementation will have a significant impact development, use, management of mercury. Therefore, estimating excess mercury has become extremely important for providing fundamental information strategic management, such planning necessary storage capacity timeline taking appropriate actions. this study, quantitative past current domestic supply demand over 55-year period (1996–2050) in was assessed through maximum minimum scenario analyses. The total increased markedly between 1996 2016, particularly during 3 most recent years. same gradually compared to supply. amount annual grown rapidly since 2014, from 636 –756 tons 2013 2725–2845 2016. shows that cumulative continue decline 2017 on, reach one-third 2016 levels 2050. 2050 be 3.5 times higher than scenario. method applied would useful policymakers other countries are facing similar problems.

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