Contrasting patterns of mortality and hospital admissions during hot weather and heat waves in Greater London, UK

作者: R S Kovats

DOI: 10.1136/OEM.2003.012047

关键词: Public healthPediatricsAge groupsNames of the days of the weekLong term trendHeat waveMedicineDemographyEpidemiologyHot weatherMedical attention

摘要: Background: Epidemiological research has shown that mortality increases during hot weather and heat waves, but little is known about the effect on non-fatal outcomes in UK. Aims Methods: The effects of waves emergency hospital admissions were investigated Greater London, UK, for a range causes age groups. Time series analyses conducted daily admissions, 1 April 1994 to 31 March 2000, using autoregressive Poisson models with adjustment long term trend, season, day week, public holidays, Christmas period, influenza, relative humidity, air pollution (ozone, PM 10 ), overdispersion. modelled average mean temperature over index previous two days. Results: There was no clear evidence relation between total high ambient temperatures, although there related respiratory renal disease, children under 5, disease 75+ group. During wave 29 July 3 August 1995, showed small non-significant increase: 2.6% (95% CI −2.2 7.6), while rose by 10.8% 2.8 19.3) after adjusting time varying confounders. Conclusions: impact not paralleled similar magnitude which supports hypothesis many deaths occur people before they come medical attention. This evident implications health, merits further enquiry.

参考文章(18)
The spectrum of illness during heat waves. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. ,vol. 16, pp. 359- 360 ,(1999) , 10.1016/S0749-3797(99)00016-1
Katherine K. Christoffel, Effect of season and weather on pediatric emergency department use American Journal of Emergency Medicine. ,vol. 3, pp. 327- 330 ,(1985) , 10.1016/0735-6757(85)90058-0
Mary P Naughton, Alden Henderson, Maria C Mirabelli, Reinhard Kaiser, John L Wilhelm, Stephanie M Kieszak, Carol H Rubin, Michael A McGeehin, Heat-related mortality during a 1999 heat wave in Chicago. American Journal of Preventive Medicine. ,vol. 22, pp. 221- 227 ,(2002) , 10.1016/S0749-3797(02)00421-X
Jan C. Semenza, Carol H. Rubin, Kenneth H. Falter, Joel D. Selanikio, W. Dana Flanders, Holly L. Howe, John L. Wilhelm, Heat-Related Deaths during the July 1995 Heat Wave in Chicago The New England Journal of Medicine. ,vol. 335, pp. 84- 90 ,(1996) , 10.1056/NEJM199607113350203
E. Masterson, D. Borton, T. O'Brien, Victims of our climate Injury-international Journal of The Care of The Injured. ,vol. 24, pp. 247- 248 ,(1993) , 10.1016/0020-1383(93)90179-A
Jane E. Dematte, Near-Fatal Heat Stroke during the 1995 Heat Wave in Chicago Annals of Internal Medicine. ,vol. 129, pp. 173- 181 ,(1998) , 10.7326/0003-4819-129-3-199808010-00001
S Whitman, G Good, E R Donoghue, N Benbow, W Shou, S Mou, Mortality in Chicago attributed to the July 1995 heat wave. American Journal of Public Health. ,vol. 87, pp. 1515- 1518 ,(1997) , 10.2105/AJPH.87.9.1515
Joel Schwartz, Jonathan M. Samet, Jonathan A. Patz, Hospital admissions for heart disease: the effects of temperature and humidity. Epidemiology. ,vol. 15, pp. 755- 761 ,(2004) , 10.1097/01.EDE.0000134875.15919.0F
Jan C Semenza, Joel E McCullough, W Dana Flanders, Michael A McGeehin, John R Lumpkin, Excess hospital admissions during the July 1995 heat wave in Chicago American Journal of Preventive Medicine. ,vol. 16, pp. 269- 277 ,(1999) , 10.1016/S0749-3797(99)00025-2
S Pattenden, B Nikiforov, BG Armstrong, Mortality and temperature in Sofia and London Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health. ,vol. 57, pp. 628- 633 ,(2003) , 10.1136/JECH.57.8.628