A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

摘要: Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) is remembered amoung probabilitists today particularly for his "Theorie analytique des probabilites", published in 1812. The "Essai philosophique dur les probabilites" introduction the second edition of this work. Here provided a popular exposition on "Theorie". "Essai", based lecture probability given by 1794, underwent sweeping changes, almost doubling size, various editions during Laplace's lifetime. Translations different languages have apeared over years. only English translation 1902 reads awkwardly today. This thorough and modern recent re-issue, with its voluminous notes, fifth 1826, preface Rene Thom postscript Bernard Bru. In part book, reader an extensive commentary translator including valuable histographical mathematical remarks proofs.