作者: Miguel Sampayo-Cordero , Bernat Miguel-Huguet , José Pérez-García , David Páez , Ángel L. Guerrero-Zotano
DOI: 10.1016/J.CONCTC.2020.100678
关键词: Early phase 、 Non inferiority 、 Type I and type II errors 、 Stochastic ordering 、 Monte Carlo method 、 Negative phase 、 Statistics 、 Clinical trial 、 Minimum-variance unbiased estimator 、 Mathematics
摘要: Abstract Introduction Non-inferiority (NI) analysis is not usually considered in the early phases of clinical development. In some negative phase II trials, a post-hoc NI justified additional III trials that were successful. However, risk false positive achievements was controlled these analyses. We propose to preplan analyses superiority-based Simon's two-stage designs control type I and error rates. Methods Simulations have been proposed assess errors rates with this method. A total 12,768 design constructed based on different assumptions rejection response probability, desired errors, margins. P-value calculated stochastic ordering using Uniformly Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator. Type simulated Monte Carlo The agreement between values analyzed Bland-Altman plots. Results observed same level from both superiority which allowed. Different examples has explain utility Conclusion Inclusion single-arm may be useful for weighing factors such as safety, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamic, biomarker data while assessing efficacy. Implementation strategy can achieved through simple adaptations existing one-arm trials.