Inclusion of non-inferiority analysis in superiority-based clinical trials with single-arm, two-stage Simon's design.

作者: Miguel Sampayo-Cordero , Bernat Miguel-Huguet , José Pérez-García , David Páez , Ángel L. Guerrero-Zotano

DOI: 10.1016/J.CONCTC.2020.100678

关键词: Early phaseNon inferiorityType I and type II errorsStochastic orderingMonte Carlo methodNegative phaseStatisticsClinical trialMinimum-variance unbiased estimatorMathematics

摘要: Abstract Introduction Non-inferiority (NI) analysis is not usually considered in the early phases of clinical development. In some negative phase II trials, a post-hoc NI justified additional III trials that were successful. However, risk false positive achievements was controlled these analyses. We propose to preplan analyses superiority-based Simon's two-stage designs control type I and error rates. Methods Simulations have been proposed assess errors rates with this method. A total 12,768 design constructed based on different assumptions rejection response probability, desired errors, margins. P-value calculated stochastic ordering using Uniformly Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator. Type simulated Monte Carlo The agreement between values analyzed Bland-Altman plots. Results observed same level from both superiority which allowed. Different examples has explain utility Conclusion Inclusion single-arm may be useful for weighing factors such as safety, pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamic, biomarker data while assessing efficacy. Implementation strategy can achieved through simple adaptations existing one-arm trials.

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