Explaining Extreme Events of 2011 from a Climate Perspective

摘要: Attribution of extreme events shortly after their occurrence stretches the current state-of-theart climate change assessment. To help foster growth this science, article illustrates some approaches to answering questions about role human factors, and relative different natural for six specific weather or 2011. Not every event is linked change. The rainfall associated with devastating Thailand floods can be explained by variability. But long-term warming played a part in others. While La Nina contributed failure rains Horn Africa, an increased frequency such droughts there was Western Pacific– Indian Ocean warm pool. Europe's record temperatures would probably not have been as unusual if high had caused only atmospheric flow regime without any warming. Calculating how odds particular change...