Forecast of the Decadal Average Sunspot Number

作者: D. M. Volobuev , N. G. Makarenko

DOI: 10.1007/S11207-008-9167-Y

关键词: Training setMean squared prediction errorNonlinear systemPhysicsSurrogate dataStatisticMeteorologySunspot numberLinear approximationStandard deviation

摘要: … continuous sunspot number from 9455 BC to the present. In Section 3 we describe the forecast method and in Section 4 we discuss the errors in data, errors of the forecast and provide …

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