The Australian Great Flood of 1954: Estimating the Cost of a Similar Event in 2011

作者: Kevin M. Roche , K. John McAneney , Keping Chen , Ryan P. Crompton

DOI: 10.1175/WCAS-D-12-00018.1

关键词: Flood vulnerabilityMeteorologyPopulationFlooding (psychology)Flood mythPhysical geographyEvent (probability theory)CensusGeographyTropical cycloneLandfall

摘要: AbstractAs in many other parts of the globe, migration to coast and rapid regional development Australia is resulting large concentrations population insured assets. One most rapidly growing regions southeastern Queensland northern New South Wales, an area prone flooding. This study reexamines Great Flood 1954 develops a deterministic methodology estimate likely cost if similar event had occurred 2011. estimated using council flood maps, census information, historical observations, Risk Frontiers' proprietary vulnerability functions. The arose from heavy rainfall caused by passage tropical cyclone that made landfall on 20 February near Queensland–New Wales border, before heading south. Responsible for some largest floods record Wales' river catchments, it prior availability reliable insurance statistics recent escalation property ...

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