Can deterrence be tailored

摘要: Key Points Deterrence, the hallmark of Cold War-era security, needs to be adapted fit more volatile security environment 21st century. The Bush administration has outlined a concept for tailored deterrence address distinctive challenges posed by advanced military competitors, regional powers armed with weapons mass destruction (WMD), and nonstate terrorist networks--while assuring allies dissuading potential competitors. goal is prevent aggressive action or WMD use ensuring that, in mind adversary, risks outweigh benefits, while taking into account consequences inaction. Deterrence requires detailed knowledge society leadership that we seek influence. U.S. decisionmakers will need continuing set comprehensive country group assessments, drawing on expertise out government, order tailor specific actors situations. capabilities needed go beyond nuclear strategic so-called New Triad, full range capabilities, presence, cooperation, as well diplomatic, informational, economic instruments. clarity credibility American messages deterree are critical tailoring threats. policymakers mechanisms assess how their words actions perceived, they affect each adversary's calculations, might mitigate misperceptions undermine deterrence. North Korea's test only latest illustration dramatically international changed over last 15 years. Given wider variety could inflict casualties upon United States, its allies, interests, it makes sense explore whether adapted, adjusted, made 21st-century challenges. In 2006 Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR) Report, forth vision deterrence, shift from one-size-fits-all notion toward adaptable approaches suitable (WMD) states, networks, (1) QDR was first official public document term But did not explain much detail what newly coined means achieved. This led number questions: How does differ previous strategies? Whom States trying deter, doing what, circumstances? What one know deter case? should deterrence? can when, given global communications, audience received all? aims hostile (for example, aggression use) That said, there nothing immutable about applied face an evolving environment. To comprehend fully implementing effectively, three facets assessing viability must explicated: * Tailoring situations: Some believe primary contribution differentiation among deterrees would emphasize understand decision calculus. As analyst put it, "context culturally sensitive. …