The effects of financial markets and social security on saving and fertility behaviour in Italy.

作者: Alessandro Cigno , Furio C. Rosati

DOI: 10.1007/BF00163064

关键词: EconomicsLabour economicsAlternative hypothesisSocial policyOld Age SecurityFertilityCapital marketPublic economicsSocial securityWagePopulation

摘要: The paper aims to ascertain the extent which saving and fertility decisions are affected by availability attractiveness of market-based or state-provided alternatives family as a source old-age support. Subordinately, bring evidence bear on assumption that is endogenous jointly determined with saving, test two alternative hypotheses about individual motivations. implications models choice — based one pure self-interest, other intergenerational altruism first derived theoretically. Saving equations then estimated from Italian time-series data, using explanatory variables market rate interest, social security deficit, various measures capital accessibility coverage, number income wage variables. Particularly worthy note result fully-funded increase in coverage raises while an deficit has opposite effect. empirical findings appear support favour hypothesis motivated self-interest rather than altruism. Some policy briefly discussed concluding section.

参考文章(14)
John Ermisch, None, Econometric analysis of birth rate dynamics in Britain. Journal of Human Resources. ,vol. 23, pp. 563- 576 ,(1988) , 10.2307/145814
Alessandro Cigno, Intergenerational transfers without altruism: family, market and state. European Journal of Political Economy. ,vol. 9, pp. 505- 518 ,(1993) , 10.1016/0176-2680(93)90036-T
DAVID E. WILDASIN, Non-neutrality of debt with endogenous fertility. OXFORD ECONOMIC PAPERS. ,vol. 42, pp. 414- 428 ,(1990) , 10.1093/OXFORDJOURNALS.OEP.A041954
Alessandro Cigno, Martin Werding, Children and Pensions ,(2007)
John W. Graham, International differences in saving rates and the life cycle hypothesis European Economic Review. ,vol. 31, pp. 1509- 1529 ,(1987) , 10.1016/S0014-2921(87)80024-7
Robert J. Barro, Are Government Bonds Net Wealth Journal of Political Economy. ,vol. 82, pp. 1095- 1117 ,(1974) , 10.1086/260266
Gary Stanley Becker, A Treatise on the Family ,(1981)
Robert F. Engle, Byung Sam Yoo, Forecasting and testing in co-integrated systems Journal of Econometrics. ,vol. 35, pp. 143- 159 ,(1987) , 10.1016/0304-4076(87)90085-6
John Treble, Allesandro Cigno, Economics of the family The Economic Journal. ,vol. 102, pp. 658- ,(1992) , 10.2307/2234315