作者: Arnulf Grübler , Nebojša Nakićenović
DOI: 10.1016/0040-1625(96)00049-2
关键词: Upstream (petroleum industry) 、 Greenhouse gas 、 Primary energy 、 Climate change 、 Technological change 、 Greenhouse effect 、 Flexibility (engineering) 、 Natural resource economics 、 Energy policy 、 Environmental protection 、 Environmental science
摘要: Abstract The study analyzes the long-term decarbonization of global energy system, i.e., decrease carbon emissions per unit primary energy. Decarbonization appears as a continuous and persistent trend throughout world, albeit occurring at very slow rates approximately 0.3% year. also discusses driving forces associated structural changes in systems such technological change. occurs level end use trends for final are shown. quest higher flexibility, convenience, cleanliness services demanded by consumers leads to that more pronounced those upstream sector. concludes with discussion implications scenarios energy-environment interactions suggesting its may still be insufficiently captured most models evolution system.