Analyzing Scenarios for the Integration of Renewable Energy Sources in the Mexican Energy System—An Application of the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD)

摘要: This paper uses numerical techno-economic modelling to analyse the effect of current national renewable targets and climate goals on cost structural composition Mexican energy system. For this, we construct a scenario base analysis compare policies with two alternative states world—one without one attaining full decarbonization. Furthermore, an additional iterative routine allows us estimate cost-optimal share technologies in sector that deviating from this has total discounted system costs, emissions structure mix. In general, model results exhibit three key insights—(1) A marked dependence photovoltaics natural gas; (2) The 2050 renewables for production electricity, transportation industrial heating is respectively 75%, 90% 5%; (3) As power are lower than renewables, equivalent shares completely disconnected goals, these should be modified.