作者: Mahsa Jahandideh-Tehrani , Omid Bozorg Haddad , Hugo A. Loáiciga
DOI: 10.1007/S11269-014-0840-7
关键词: Hydrology 、 Climate model 、 Climate change 、 Greenhouse gas 、 Environmental science 、 Runoff model 、 Discharge 、 Hydropower 、 Reservoir simulation 、 Downscaling
摘要: This study assesses the performance of hydropower production by reservoirs with and without climate change impacts on river discharge. The case this research includes Khersan 1, Karoon 4, 3 in Iran. HADCM3 model A2 greenhouse gas emission scenario is coupled proportional downscaling to assess impact discharge reservoir production. IHACRES rainfall- runoff implemented for calculating under climate-change conditions. Reservoir simulation optimization models are calculate base period (1986–2000), future 1 (2025–2039), 2 (2055–2069), (2085–2099). power criteria calculated using (standard operating policy) considered periods. Our results show that largest reductions correspond, decreasing order, periods 3, 2, respectively. Moreover, obtained found be larger than model. increase equal 6, 19, 10, 22 %, These demonstrate benefit applying modeling -Karoon system mitigate adapt