Using modeling to generate alternatives (MGA) to expand our thinking on energy futures
DOI: 10.1016/J.ENECO.2010.05.002
关键词: Decision rule 、 Futures contract 、 Uncertainty analysis 、 Sensitivity analysis 、 Set (psychology) 、 Computer science 、 Management science 、 Conceptual model 、 Parametric statistics 、 Energy modeling 、 Operations research 、 General Energy 、 Economics and Econometrics
摘要: Energy-economy optimization models–encoded with a set of structured, self-consistent assumptions and decision rules–have emerged as a key tool for the analysis of energy and …
elsevier.com
sci-hub.se 参考文章(24)
James S. Hodges, James A. Dewar, Is It You or Your Model Talking RAND Corporation. ,(1992)
Leon E. Clarke, James Edmonds, Henry Jacoby, Hugh Pitcher, John Reilly, Richard Richels, Scenarios of Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Atmospheric Concentrations U.S. Climate Change Science Program. ,(2007)
Emilio L. La Rovere, Hugh Pitcher, Joseph Alcamo, Hans-Holger Rogner, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Keywan Riahi, Sascha van Rooijen, Bert de Vries, William Pepper, Michael Schlesinger, Steven Smith, Tom Kram, Tsuneyuki Morita, Lynn Price, Alexei Sankovski, Gerald Davis, Robert Swart, Priyadarshi Shukla, Laurie Michaelis, Shunsuke Mori, Nadejda Victor, Joergen Fenhann, Amulf Griibler, Kermeth Gregory, Tae Y. Jung, Alexander Roehrl, Zhou Dadi, Stuart Gaffin, Special report on emissions scenarios (2000). pp. 612- ,(2000)
Antje Kann, John P. Weyant, Approaches for performing uncertainty analysis in large-scale energy/economic policy models Environmental Modeling & Assessment. ,vol. 5, pp. 29- 46 ,(2000) , 10.1023/A:1019041023520
Joseph F. DeCarolis, David W. Keith, The economics of large-scale wind power in a carbon constrained world Energy Policy. ,vol. 34, pp. 395- 410 ,(2006) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2004.06.007
Sonja Peterson, Uncertainty and economic analysis of climate change: A survey of approaches and findings Environmental Modeling & Assessment. ,vol. 11, pp. 1- 17 ,(2006) , 10.1007/S10666-005-9014-6
M. Granger Morgan, David W. Keith, Improving the way we think about projecting future energy use and emissions of carbon dioxide Climatic Change. ,vol. 90, pp. 189- 215 ,(2008) , 10.1007/S10584-008-9458-1
Bill Keepin, Brian Wynne, Technical analysis of IIASA energy scenarios Nature. ,vol. 312, pp. 691- 695 ,(1984) , 10.1038/312691A0
Hillard G Huntington, John P Weyant, James L Sweeney, Modeling for insights, not numbers: the experiences of the energy modeling forum Omega. ,vol. 10, pp. 449- 462 ,(1982) , 10.1016/0305-0483(82)90002-0
R.G. Easterling, A Framework for Model Validation 1998 U.S. Army Conference on Applied Statistics; Las Cruces, NM; 10/21-23/1998. ,(1999)