Analyzing construction safety through time series methods

作者: Houchen Cao , Yang Miang Goh

DOI: 10.1007/S42524-019-0015-6

关键词: Time series approachVariablesData miningError correction modelData setBasis (linear algebra)Mean squared errorComputer scienceConstruction site safetyEconomic indicator

摘要: The construction industry produces a large amount of data on daily basis. However, existing sets have not been fully exploited in analyzing the safety factors projects. Thus, this work describes how temporal analysis techniques can be applied to improve management data. Various time series (TS) methods were adopted for identifying leading indicators or predictors accidents. set used herein was obtained from company that is based Singapore and contains inspection scores, accident cases, project-related collected 2008 2015. Five projects with complete sufficient selected set. filtered contained 23 potential (predictors input variables) accidents (output dependent variable). TS analyses identify suitable each five Subsequently, variables develop three different models predicting occurrences, vector error correction model found best model. It had lowest root mean squared value analyzed. This study provides insights into companies utilize high risk

参考文章(37)
James M.W. Wong, Albert P.C. Chan, Y.H. Chiang, Construction manpower demand forecasting: A comparative study of univariate time series, multiple regression and econometric modelling techniques Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management. ,vol. 18, pp. 7- 29 ,(2011) , 10.1108/09699981111098667
Helmut Lütkepohl, Univariate Time Series Analysis Applied Time Series Econometrics. pp. 8- 85 ,(2004) , 10.1017/CBO9780511606885.003
Guoqiang Zhang, B. Eddy Patuwo, Michael Y. Hu, Forecasting with artificial neural networks: International Journal of Forecasting. ,vol. 14, pp. 35- 62 ,(1998) , 10.1016/S0169-2070(97)00044-7
Yongtao Tan, Craig Langston, Min Wu, J.Jorge Ochoa, Grey forecasting of construction demand in Hong Kong over the next ten years The international journal of construction management. ,vol. 15, pp. 219- 228 ,(2015) , 10.1080/15623599.2015.1066570
Michael C. P. Sing, D. J. Edwards, Henry J. X. Liu, P. E. D. Love, Forecasting Private-Sector Construction Works: VAR Model Using Economic Indicators Journal of Construction Engineering and Management. ,vol. 141, pp. 04015037- 04015037 ,(2015) , 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0001016
S. M. Shahandashti, B. Ashuri, Highway Construction Cost Forecasting Using Vector Error Correction Models Journal of Management in Engineering. ,vol. 32, pp. 04015040- ,(2016) , 10.1061/(ASCE)ME.1943-5479.0000404
Dirk Eddelbuettel, Analysis of Integrated and Cointegrated Time Series with R (2nd Edition) Journal of Statistical Software. ,vol. 30, pp. 1- 2 ,(2009) , 10.18637/JSS.V030.B05
S. Umit Dikmen, Murat Sonmez, An Artificial Neural Networks Model for the Estimation of Formwork Labour Journal of Civil Engineering and Management. ,vol. 17, pp. 340- 347 ,(2011) , 10.3846/13923730.2011.594154
S. M. Shahandashti, B. Ashuri, Forecasting Engineering News-Record Construction Cost Index Using Multivariate Time Series Models Journal of Construction Engineering and Management. ,vol. 139, pp. 1237- 1243 ,(2013) , 10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000689