Global trends in biodiversity and ecosystem services from 1900 to 2050

摘要: Despite the scientific consensus on extinction crisis and its anthropogenic origin, quantification of historical trends future scenarios biodiversity ecosystem services has been limited, due to lack inter-model comparisons harmonized scenarios. Here, we present a multi-model analysis assess impacts land-use climate change from 1900 2050. During 20th century provisioning increased, but regulating decreased. Similar trade-offs are projected for coming decades, they may be attenuated in sustainability scenario. Future loss is keep up with rates or reduce slightly, whereas losses increase greatly. Renewed efforts needed by governments meet 2050 vision Convention Biological Diversity.