Adaptive Learning and Central Bank Inattentiveness in Optimal Monetary Policy

作者: Orlando Gomes , Vivaldo M. Mendes , Diana A. Mendes

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-11456-4_25

关键词: Stability conditionsBusiness cycleEconomicsNominal interest rateStability (learning theory)MicroeconomicsMonetary policyRational expectationsNew Keynesian economicsAdaptive learningMonetary economics

摘要: This paper analyzes the dynamic properties of a standard New Keynesian monetary policy model in which private agents expectations are formed under learning mechanism while central bank believes they follow hypothesis rational expectations. By assuming gain sequence that is asymptotically constant, explicit local and global stability conditions derived. The main results guaranteed even cases full convergence to equilibrium not attainable; furthermore, endogenous business cycles likely arise.

参考文章(9)
Seppo Honkapohja, George W. Evans, Learning and expectations in macroeconomics ,(2001)
Albert Marcet, Thomas J Sargent, Convergence of Least Squares Learning Mechanisms in Self- Referential Linear Stochastic Models* Journal of Economic Theory. ,vol. 48, pp. 337- 368 ,(1989) , 10.1016/0022-0531(89)90032-X
Laurent Cellarier, Constant gain learning and business cycles Journal of Macroeconomics. ,vol. 28, pp. 51- 85 ,(2006) , 10.1016/J.JMACRO.2005.10.005
Robert E Lucas, Expectations and the neutrality of money Journal of Economic Theory. ,vol. 4, pp. 103- 124 ,(1972) , 10.1016/0022-0531(72)90142-1
John F. Muth, Rational Expectations and the Theory of Price Movements Econometrica. ,vol. 29, pp. 315- ,(1961) , 10.2307/1909635
Jean-Michel Grandmont, Expectations Formation and Stability of Large Socioeconomic Systems Econometrica. ,vol. 66, pp. 741- 781 ,(1998) , 10.2307/2999573
Stephan George Hall, Mike Beeby, Brian S. Henry, Rational expectations and near rational alternatives: How best to form expectations Research Papers in Economics. ,(2001)
Juan Pablo Nicolini, Albert Marcet, Klaus Adam, Stock Market Volatility and Learning Research Papers in Economics. ,(2008)