Decision making in the emissions-market under uncertainty

作者: Gorden Spangardt , Michael Lucht , Christian Wolf , Christian Horn

DOI: 10.1007/3-7908-1748-1_9

关键词: Stochastic optimizationEconometricsProject risk managementOptimal decisionEconomicsEvidential reasoning approachBusiness decision mappingExpected shortfallEmissions tradingDecision analysis

摘要: In this paper a stochastic optimization model for decision making in the emissions market under uncertain boundary conditions is presented. This aims at finding strategy profit optimal trading/emissions reduction. The uncertainties are modelled via scenario approach considering price risk as well project of potential reduction project.

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