Australia’s country towns 2050: what will a climate adapted settlement pattern look like?

摘要: Abstract This report considers the impact of anticipated climate change on Australia’s inland towns and centres to year 2050. It examines ways in which non-coastal settlements will be affected by primary, secondary tertiary impacts change, including extreme events, a warming drying over much southern Australia increased costs associated with both structural economic accelerated degradation infrastructure. The research finds that is likely have wide range system settlement not all these are adverse. published literature highlights fact some industries – wool production, grains, viticulture grazing benefit from change. While this case instances, enhanced runs contrary commonly held expectations public discourse. In other sectors economy society, technological and/or investment infrastructure overcome many climate-change related challenges potential place wellbeing at risk. project found rural regional across different ways, depending upon: Their industry structure; geographic location, especially their degree remoteness; climatic conditions now 2030; and, resource endowments communities stock human, social, physical, fiscal capital. reviewed national international adaptation consider vulnerability individual centres. A index was developed able distinguish places more, less, vulnerable negative analysis undertaken as first step toward better understanding differential system, full awareness critiques such approaches. modelling highlighted remote confront greatest risks but Indigenous vulnerable. Detailed field work five studies Alice Springs, NT; Junee, NSW; Horsham, Victoria; Waikerie, South Australia; Moura, Queensland order understand steps taken plan prepare for persons within do accept human-induced reality, consequence preparations patchy. However, economies contemporary ‘good practice’ farming or entirely consistent measures needed fieldwork also while it possible model overlook commitment willingness groups address challenge. Finally, we conclude contribute shifting nature 2050 just one number factors contributing Other factors, global markets, demographic relative prosperity industries, decisions government important also. Please cite as: Beer, A, Tually, S, Kroehn, M, Martin, J, Gerritsen, R, Taylor, Graymore, Law, 2013, country 2050: What adapted pattern look like? National Climate Change Adaptation Research Facility, Gold Coast, pp.139.Abstract