Climate change threatens protected areas of the Atlantic Forest

作者: Priscila Lemes , Adriano Sanches Melo , Rafael Dias Loyola , None

DOI: 10.1007/S10531-013-0605-2

关键词: Biological dispersalSpecies richnessBiodiversityGlobal warmingEcologyEffects of global warmingBiodiversity hotspotClimate changeGeographyGlobal biodiversityEcology (disciplines)Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and SystematicsNature and Landscape Conservation

摘要: Only 7 % of the Atlantic Forest Biodiversity Hotspot is currently protected, though it holds 18 % all amphibian species in South America. How effective would network protected areas (PAs) be a changing climate? Are there some intrinsic features PAs that drive loss or gain inside them? We addressed these questions by modeling ecological niches 430 and projecting their distributions into three future climate change simulations. then assessed changes richness for different time frames tested significance via null model. The number should decline within under conditions. altitude was good predictor gains lost PAs. Therefore, we suggest new established highlands more to alleviate effects on this imperiled fauna.

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