Policies, decisions and information sources for modeling☆

作者: Jay W. Forrester

DOI: 10.1016/0377-2217(92)90006-U

关键词: Process (engineering)Basis (linear algebra)Artificial intelligenceOperations researchDecision theorySet (psychology)Action (philosophy)Computer science

摘要: Abstract A simulation model is based on explicit statements of policies (or rules) that govern decision making in accordance with conditions may arise within the system being modeled. The decision-making process consists three parts — formulation a set concepts indicating are desired, observation what appear to be actual conditions, and generation corrective action bring apparent toward desired conditions. should generate ‘true’ underlying variables but, general, these true not available people real systems likewise used directly for model. Distorted delayed information about forms basis creating values also Corrective will turn distorted by before influencing then In modeling business economic behavior, representing making, all kinds used, merely numerical data. Rich stores governing structure from mental data bases built up experience observation.

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