Has East Germany Overtaken West Germany? Recent Trends in Order-Specific Fertility
作者： Joshua R. Goldstein , Michaela Kreyenfeld
DOI: 10.1111/J.1728-4457.2011.00430.X
关键词: Fertility 、 Human fertility 、 Development economics 、 Total fertility rate 、 Natural experiment 、 Socioeconomics 、 German 、 Economic change 、 West germany 、 Geography 、 Order (exchange) 、 Development (topology) 、 Sociology and Political Science 、 Demography
摘要: Some 20 years after reunification, the contrast between East and West Germany offers a natural experiment for studying degree of persistence Communist-era family patterns, effects economic change, fertility postponement. After period rates plummeted in former to record low levels. Since mid-1990s, however, have been rising Germany, nearly constant seen West. By 2008, TFR had overtaken that We explore why is higher than despite unfavorable circumstances East. address this related questions by (a) presenting an account persisting East/West differences attitudes toward constraints on childbearing, (b) conducting order-specific analysis recent trends, (c) projecting completed west German cohorts. In addition using Human Fertility Database, perinatal statistics allow us calculate tempo-corrected Germany.
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