作者: P. Viaroli , G. Giordani , S. Bencivelli , A. Bodini , A. Norro
关键词: Environmental impact assessment 、 Agriculture 、 Scenario analysis 、 Fishery 、 Eutrophication 、 Geography 、 Productivity (ecology) 、 DPSIR 、 Vulnerability 、 Climate change
摘要: 1 - Different scenarios and their prioritization were identified for the Sacca di Goro (Adriatic Sea, Northern Italy), an eutrophic lagoon which is exploited with extensive clam farming activities. A preliminary scenario assessment was investigated qualitative modelling. Economic environmental variables accommodated in a comprehensive model of that describes major interactions between selected compartments. This kind analysis specially suited systems are partially specified. In second step, we addressed first priority by end-users concerns activities lagoon. analysed using quantitative approach based on 3D integrated hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model. Such allowed implications increase area. 2 The results seems to indicate further areas (or more intense exploitation) inside would risk anoxia vulnerability Ulva blooms. On contrary, exploitation area outside will average productivity maintain constant risks Furthermore, cost measures taken local regional authorities management control nuisance macroalgal blooms potentially compensated clams production predicted model. 3 focus provides only partial view complex system composes agriculture, urban, touristic areas, natural sites under influence climate changes. However, such constitute stage procedure overall analysis, iteration necessary define main constraints boundaries, as well incorporate economic evaluation social different options.