Can we trust climate models?

摘要: What are the predictions of climate models, should we believe them, and they falsifiable? Probably most iconic influential result arising from models is prediction that, dependent on rate increase CO2 emissions, global annual mean temperature will rise by around 2–4°C over 21st century. We argue that this indeed credible, as supplementary land average warm 50% more than oceans, high latitudes tropics, hydrological cycle generally intensify. Beyond these similar broad statements, however, presently find little evidence trustworthy at fine spatial scale to decadal timescale models. For further resources related article, please visit WIREs website. Conflict interest: The authors have declared no conflicts interest for article.