Bayesian inverse problem and optimization with iterative spatial resampling

作者: Grégoire Mariethoz , Philippe Renard , Jef Caers

DOI: 10.1029/2010WR009274

关键词: Mathematical optimizationLikelihood functionImportance samplingPrior probabilityMathematicsMarkov chain Monte CarloInverse problemAlgorithmVariablesResamplingBayesian probability

摘要: [1] Measurements are often unable to uniquely characterize the subsurface at a desired modeling resolution. In particular, inverse problems involving characterization of hydraulic properties typically ill-posed since they generally present more unknowns than data. Bayesian context, solutions such consist posterior ensemble models that fit data (up certain precision specified by likelihood function) and subset prior distribution. Two possible approaches for this problem Markov chain Monte Carlo (McMC) techniques optimization (calibration) methods. Both frameworks rely on perturbation mechanism steer search solutions. When model parameters spatially dependent variable fields obtained using geostatistical realizations, as conductivity or porosity, it is not trivial incur perturbations respect spatial model. To overcome problem, we propose general transition kernel (iterative resampling, ISR) preserves any produced conditional simulation. We also stochastic stopping criterion optimizations inspired from importance sampling. studied cases, yields distributions reasonably close ones rejection sampler, but with greatly reduced number forward runs. The technique in sense can be used simulation method, whether generates continuous discrete variables. Therefore allows sampling different priors conditioning variety types. Several examples provided based either multi-Gaussian multiple-point statistics.

参考文章(73)
Mickaële Le Ravalec-Dupin, Benoît Nœtinger, Optimization with the Gradual Deformation Method Mathematical Geosciences. ,vol. 34, pp. 125- 142 ,(2002) , 10.1023/A:1014408117518
Felipe B. Guardiano, R. Mohan Srivastava, Multivariate Geostatistics: Beyond Bivariate Moments Springer, Dordrecht. pp. 133- 144 ,(1993) , 10.1007/978-94-011-1739-5_12
Lin Y. Hu, Georges Blanc, Benoît Noetinger, Gradual Deformation and Iterative Calibration of Sequential Stochastic Simulations Mathematical Geosciences. ,vol. 33, pp. 475- 489 ,(2001) , 10.1023/A:1011088913233
L. Y. Hu, M. Le Ravalec-Dupin, On Some Controversial Issues of Geostatistical Simulation Springer, Dordrecht. pp. 175- 184 ,(2005) , 10.1007/978-1-4020-3610-1_18
Michael J. Ronayne, Steven M. Gorelick, Jef Caers, Identifying discrete geologic structures that produce anomalous hydraulic response: An inverse modeling approach Water Resources Research. ,vol. 44, ,(2008) , 10.1029/2007WR006635
Gregoire Mariethoz, Philippe Renard, Julien Straubhaar, The Direct Sampling method to perform multiple‐point geostatistical simulations Water Resources Research. ,vol. 46, pp. 1- 14 ,(2010) , 10.1029/2008WR007621
A. F. Hernandez, S. P. Neuman, A. Guadagnini, J. Carrera, Inverse stochastic moment analysis of steady state flow in randomly heterogeneous media Water Resources Research. ,vol. 42, ,(2006) , 10.1029/2005WR004449
Sebastien Strebelle, Conditional Simulation of Complex Geological Structures Using Multiple-Point Statistics Mathematical Geosciences. ,vol. 34, pp. 1- 21 ,(2002) , 10.1023/A:1014009426274
Nicolas Remy, Alexandre Boucher, Jianbing Wu, Applied Geostatistics with SGeMS: A User's Guide ,(2009)