Spreading dynamics following bursty human activity patterns

作者: Byungjoon Min , K.-I. Goh , Alexei Vazquez

DOI: 10.1103/PHYSREVE.83.036102

关键词: MathematicsStatistical physicsDecay timeNetwork levelWaiting timeDistribution (mathematics)Mathematical physicsExponentDynamics (mechanics)Collective dynamicsPower law

摘要: We study the susceptible-infected model with power-law waiting time distributions $P(\ensuremath{\tau})~{\ensuremath{\tau}}^{\ensuremath{-}\ensuremath{\alpha}}$, as a of spreading dynamics under heterogeneous human activity patterns. found that average number new infections $n(t)$ at $t$ decays power law in long-time limit, $n(t)~{t}^{\ensuremath{-}\ensuremath{\beta}}$, leading to extremely slow prevalence decay. also exponent $\ensuremath{\beta}$ is related distribution $\ensuremath{\alpha}$ way depending on interactions between agents but insensitive network topology. These observations are well supported by both theoretical predictions and long decay real social phenomena. Our results unify individual patterns macroscopic collective level.

参考文章(26)
Albert-László Barabási, The origin of bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics Nature. ,vol. 435, pp. 207- 211 ,(2005) , 10.1038/NATURE03459
P. Wang, M. C. Gonzalez, C. A. Hidalgo, A.-L. Barabasi, Understanding the spreading patterns of mobile phone viruses. Science. ,vol. 324, pp. 1071- 1076 ,(2009) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.1167053
Filippo Radicchi, Human activity in the web. Physical Review E. ,vol. 80, pp. 026118- ,(2009) , 10.1103/PHYSREVE.80.026118
Ciro Cattuto, Wouter Van den Broeck, Alain Barrat, Vittoria Colizza, Jean-François Pinton, Alessandro Vespignani, Dynamics of Person-to-Person Interactions from Distributed RFID Sensor Networks PLoS ONE. ,vol. 5, pp. e11596- ,(2010) , 10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0011596
Byungjoon Min, K.-I. Goh, I.-M. Kim, Waiting time dynamics of priority-queue networks. Physical Review E. ,vol. 79, pp. 056110- 056110 ,(2009) , 10.1103/PHYSREVE.79.056110
D. Balcan, V. Colizza, B. Goncalves, H. Hu, J. J. Ramasco, A. Vespignani, Multiscale mobility networks and the spatial spreading of infectious diseases Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 106, pp. 21484- 21489 ,(2009) , 10.1073/PNAS.0906910106
Bruno Gonçalves, José J. Ramasco, Human dynamics revealed through Web analytics. Physical Review E. ,vol. 78, pp. 026123- 026123 ,(2008) , 10.1103/PHYSREVE.78.026123
Romualdo Pastor-Satorras, Alessandro Vespignani, Epidemic Spreading in Scale-Free Networks Physical Review Letters. ,vol. 86, pp. 3200- 3203 ,(2001) , 10.1103/PHYSREVLETT.86.3200
J Sanz, LM Floría, Y Moreno, None, Spreading of persistent infections in heterogeneous populations Physical Review E. ,vol. 81, pp. 056108- 056108 ,(2010) , 10.1103/PHYSREVE.81.056108
Alexei Vázquez, João Gama Oliveira, Zoltán Dezsö, Kwang-Il Goh, Imre Kondor, Albert-László Barabási, Modeling bursts and heavy tails in human dynamics. Physical Review E. ,vol. 73, pp. 036127- ,(2006) , 10.1103/PHYSREVE.73.036127