Sensitivity of runoff to climatic variability in the northern and southern slopes of the Middle Tianshan Mountains, China

摘要: Temperature and precipitation play an important role in the distribution of intra-annual runoff by influencing timing contribution different water sources. In northern southern slopes Middle Tianshan Mountains China, sources rivers are similar; however, proportion dominance contributing to different. Using Manas River watershed slope Kaidu as case studies, we investigated changes annual under climate change. A modified hydrological model was used simulate watersheds. The results indicated that sensitive variation temperature Mountains. Variations substantially influence seasonal runoff. An increase did not volume spring runoff; but it resulted earlier peaks with higher levels peak flow. Damages caused flow from both should be given more attention future studies.