Implied liquidity risk premium in the term structure of sovereign credit default swap and bond spreads

作者: Saad Badaoui , Lara Cathcart , Lina El-Jahel

DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2014.996297

关键词: BondCredit default swapFinancial systemEconomicsMarket liquidityLiquidity crisisLiquidity premiumCredit riskLiquidity riskAccounting liquidity

摘要: In this study, we focus on the dynamic properties of risk-neutral liquidity risk premium specific to sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets. We show that has a non-trivial role participates directly variation over time term structure CDS spreads for both pre- crisis periods. Secondly, our results indicate time-varying move in opposite directions which imply when is high, low (and vice versa), may turn be consistent with substitution effect between Finally, Granger causality analysis reveals that, although magnitude substantially different, there strong flow markets, however, no market seems consistently lead other.

参考文章(30)
David Jamieson Bolder, Affine Term-Structure Models: Theory and Implementation Social Science Research Network. ,(2001) , 10.2139/SSRN.1082826
Ren-Raw Chen, Louis Scott, Multi-Factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross Models of the Term Structure: Estimates and Tests from a Kalman Filter Model Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics. ,vol. 27, pp. 143- 172 ,(2003) , 10.1023/A:1024736903090
Philipp Schuster, Monika Trapp, Marliese Uhrig-Homburg, None, A Heterogeneous Agents Equilibrium Model for the Term Structure of Bond Market Liquidity Social Science Research Network. ,(2016) , 10.2139/SSRN.2237879
Alain Monfort, Jean-Paul Renne, Credit and Liquidity Risks in Euro Area Sovereign Yield Curves Social Science Research Network. ,(2011) , 10.2139/SSRN.1966041
Halbert White, Regularity conditions for cox's test of non-nested hypotheses Journal of Econometrics. ,vol. 19, pp. 301- 318 ,(1982) , 10.1016/0304-4076(82)90007-0
Alexander Kempf, Olaf Korn, Marliese Uhrig-Homburg, The term structure of illiquidity premia Journal of Banking and Finance. ,vol. 36, pp. 1381- 1391 ,(2012) , 10.1016/J.JBANKFIN.2011.12.003
Ren-Raw Chen, Xiaolin Cheng, Bo Liu, Estimation and evaluation of the term structure of credit default swaps: An empirical study Insurance Mathematics & Economics. ,vol. 43, pp. 339- 349 ,(2008) , 10.1016/J.INSMATHECO.2008.05.005
Ruslan Goyenko, Avanidhar Subrahmanyam, Andrey Ukhov, The Term Structure of Bond Market Liquidity and Its Implications for Expected Bond Returns Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. ,vol. 46, pp. 111- 139 ,(2011) , 10.1017/S0022109010000700
Ren-Raw Chen, Xiaolin Cheng, Frank J. Fabozzi, Bo Liu, An Explicit, Multi-Factor Credit Default Swap Pricing Model with Correlated Factors Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. ,vol. 43, pp. 123- 160 ,(2008) , 10.1017/S0022109000002775