Customer Lifetime Value and Defection Possibility Prediction Model Using Machine Learning: An Application to a Cloud-Based Software Company

作者: Niken Prasasti , Masato Okada , Katsutoshi Kanamori , Hayato Ohwada

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-05458-2_7

关键词: Data miningFrequency distributionMachine learningCloud computingComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceSoftwareSupport vector machineCustomer lifetime value

摘要: This paper proposes an estimation of Customer Lifetime Value (CLV) for a cloud-based software company by using machine learning techniques. The purpose this study is twofold. We classify the customers one two classifications methods: C4.5 and support vector (SVM). use primarily to estimate frequency distribution customer defection possibility. result shows that both SVM perform well, obtaining distributions possibility, we can predict number defecting retained.

参考文章(8)
R. Gentleman, W. Huber, V. J. Carey, Supervised Machine Learning Springer, New York, NY. pp. 121- 136 ,(2008) , 10.1007/978-0-387-77240-0_9
Sotiris B. Kotsiantis, Supervised Machine Learning: A Review of Classification Techniques Informatica (lithuanian Academy of Sciences). ,vol. 31, pp. 249- 268 ,(2007)
Hyunseok Hwang, Taesoo Jung, Euiho Suh, AN LTV MODEL AND CUSTOMER SEGMENTATION BASED ON CUSTOMER VALUE: A CASE STUDY ON THE WIRELESS TELECOMMUNICATION INDUSTRY Expert Systems With Applications. ,vol. 26, pp. 181- 188 ,(2004) , 10.1016/S0957-4174(03)00133-7
György Szarvas, Richárd Farkas, András Kocsor, A Multilingual Named Entity Recognition System Using Boosting and C4.5 Decision Tree Learning Algorithms Discovery Science. pp. 267- 278 ,(2006) , 10.1007/11893318_27
Afaq Alam Khan, Sanjay Jamwal, M.M. Sepehri, Applying Data Mining to Customer Churn Prediction in an Internet Service Provider International Journal of Computer Applications. ,vol. 9, pp. 8- 14 ,(2010) , 10.5120/1400-1889
J. Huang, J. Lu, C.X. Ling, Comparing naive Bayes, decision trees, and SVM with AUC and accuracy international conference on data mining. pp. 553- 556 ,(2003) , 10.1109/ICDM.2003.1250975
Sunil Gupta, Dominique Hanssens, Bruce Hardie, Wiliam Kahn, V. Kumar, Nathaniel Lin, Nalini Ravishanker, S. Sriram, Modeling Customer Lifetime Value Journal of Service Research. ,vol. 9, pp. 139- 155 ,(2006) , 10.1177/1094670506293810