Forecasts and Environmental Decisionmaking: The Content and Predictive Accuracy of Environmental Impact Statements
作者： H. Paul Friesema , Janice A. Beecher , Paul J. Culhane
DOI:
关键词: Natural resource 、 Environmental economics 、 Advertising 、 Economics 、 Sample (statistics) 、 Process (engineering) 、 Environmental impact statement 、 Environmental impact assessment 、 National Environmental Policy Act 、 National government
摘要: During the 1970s, environmental impact statements (EISs) became focal point of significant federal decisions regarding natural resources. The legal requirements assessment assume a technically sophisticated EIS that conforms to rational-comprehensive model decision making. authors this study examine accuracy and descriptive characteristics forecasts in sample 29 nationally representative projects. Using data on actual post-project impacts, they evaluate over 200 predictions, finding although most predictions impacts fall short model's ideal, outcomes assessments turn out be reasonably prescient - is, few are inconsistent with almost no wholly unanticipated by writers. book concludes suggested ways redefining process so as diminish false expectations enhance practical strengths National Environmental Policy Act.
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