Multi-species Management Using Modeling and Decision Theory Applications to Integrated Natural Resources Management Planning

摘要: Abstract : Advances in computing power and software development have made it feasible to incorporate complicated modeling endeavors routine natural resources management planning. In this report we review the theory application of models decision make recommendations for their use context Department Defense (DoD). Modelbased risk assessments are powerful tools. This is not say that will hard decisions easy or replace management. They require ecological expertise develop interpret, should be applied within a formal framework. What can do clarify risks trade-offs among choices inform data collection. A approach allows explicit statement assumptions, assures logical consistencies, incorporation methods deal with uncertainties knowledge gaps calculations. Models been used assess impacts known stressors, evaluate options, focus future collection on most important (Akcakaya 2000). To effective must updated as part an adaptive program. As information obtained fed back into model(s) existing strategies new ones. Lastly, making tool has multiple potential applications planning DoD including impact analyses required by National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA); establishing goals objectives installation's Integrated Natural Resources Management Plan; generation ecosystem health metric evaluating efficacy programs; helping convey DoD's accomplishments public.