What Do We Know About Making Risk Comparisons

作者: Emilie Roth , M. Granger Morgan , Baruch Fischhoff , Lester Lave , Ann Bostrom

DOI: 10.1111/J.1539-6924.1990.TB00520.X

关键词: Social psychologyTaxonomy (general)Association (psychology)Risk communicationPsychologyRisk perception

摘要: The risks of unfamiliar technologies are often evaluated by comparing them with the more familiar ones. Such risk comparisons have been criticized for neglecting critical dimensions risky decisions. In a guide written Chemical Manufacturers Association, Covello et al.(1) summarized these critiques and developed taxonomy that characterizes possible in terms their acceptability (or objectionableness). We asked four diverse groups subjects to judge 14 statements produced al. as examples categories. found no correlation between judgments our those predicted al..

参考文章(8)
Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman, Availability: A heuristic for judging frequency and probability Cognitive Psychology. ,vol. 5, pp. 207- 232 ,(1973) , 10.1016/0010-0285(73)90033-9
Richard D. McKelvey, William Zavoina, A statistical model for the analysis of ordinal level dependent variables Journal of Mathematical Sociology. ,vol. 4, pp. 103- 120 ,(1975) , 10.1080/0022250X.1975.9989847
Alan Agresti, Tutorial on modeling ordered categorical response data. Psychological Bulletin. ,vol. 105, pp. 290- 301 ,(1989) , 10.1037/0033-2909.105.2.290
Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, Sarah Lichtenstein, Weighing the Risks: Risks: Benefits which Risks are Acceptable? Environment: Science and Policy for Sustainable Development. ,vol. 21, pp. 17- 38 ,(1979) , 10.1080/00139157.1979.9929722
P Slovic, Perception of risk. Science. ,vol. 236, pp. 280- 285 ,(1987) , 10.1126/SCIENCE.3563507
Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, Sarah Lichtenstein, Stephen Read, Barbara Combs, How safe is safe enough? A psychometric study of attitudes towards technological risks and benefits Policy Sciences. ,vol. 9, pp. 127- 152 ,(1978) , 10.1007/BF00143739
Baruch Fischhoff, Paul Slovic, Sarah Lichtenstein, Fault trees: Sensitivity of estimated failure probabilities to problem representation. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human Perception and Performance. ,vol. 4, pp. 330- 344 ,(1978) , 10.1037/0096-1523.4.2.330
Bernard L. Cohen, I-Sing Lee, A catalog of risks Health Physics. ,vol. 36, pp. 707- 722 ,(1979) , 10.1097/00004032-197906000-00007