Prognostic by Classification of Predictions Combining Similarity-Based Estimation and Belief Functions

作者: Emmanuel Ramasso , Michèle Rombaut , Noureddine Zerhouni

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-642-29461-7_7

关键词: Value (mathematics)Similarity (geometry)EstimationSIGNAL (programming language)Complex systemContinuous signalData miningPrognosticsEngineering

摘要: Forecasting the future states of a complex system is paramount importance in many industrial applications covered community Prognostics and Health Management (PHM). Practically, can be either continuous (the value signal) or discrete (functioning modes). For each case, specific techniques exist. In this paper, we propose an approach called EVIPRO-KNN based on case-based reasoning belief functions that jointly estimates values signal modes. A real datasets used order to assess performance estimating break-down where combination both strategies provide best prediction accuracies, up 90%.

参考文章(15)
Christopher M. Bishop, Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning ,(2006)
Ming Dong, David He, A segmental hidden semi-Markov model (HSMM)-based diagnostics and prognostics framework and methodology Mechanical Systems and Signal Processing. ,vol. 21, pp. 2248- 2266 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.YMSSP.2006.10.001
Emmanuel Ramasso, Rafael Gouriveau, Prognostics in switching systems: Evidential markovian classification of real-time neuro-fuzzy predictions prognostics and system health management conference. pp. 1- 10 ,(2010) , 10.1109/PHM.2010.5413442
Ph Smets, Y Hsia, Alessandro Saffiotti, Robert Kennes, H Xu, E Umkehrer, The transferable belief model Artificial Intelligence. ,vol. 66, pp. 191- 234 ,(1994) , 10.1016/0004-3702(94)90026-4
Stuart Russell, Kevin Patrick Murphy, Dynamic bayesian networks: representation, inference and learning University of California, Berkeley. ,(2002)
P.P. Bonissone, A. Varma, K. Aggour, A fuzzy instance-based model for predicting expected life: a locomotive application international conference on computational intelligence for measurement systems and applications. pp. 20- 25 ,(2005) , 10.1109/CIMSA.2005.1522819
Arthur P. Dempster, Upper and Lower Probabilities Induced by a Multivalued Mapping Classic Works of the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Belief Functions. ,vol. 38, pp. 57- 72 ,(1967) , 10.1007/978-3-540-44792-4_3