Identification and prioritization of uncertainties for management of Eastern Atlantic bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus)

作者: Adrian W Leach , Polina Levontin , Johnson Holt , Laurence T Kell , John D Mumford

DOI: 10.1016/J.MARPOL.2014.03.010

关键词: Process (engineering)TunaCommissionFisheries managementEnvironmental resource managementBusinessThunnusStock assessmentExpert elicitationRisk analysis (business)

摘要: Abstract In recent decades there has been steady progress towards a risk-based management approach for fisheries. An important first step in risk analysis framework is scoping to identify, describe and catalog the sources of uncertainty that might have an impact on fishery. This paper introduces methodology based range tools formalize process elicitation uncertainties, from both experts stakeholders, International Commission Conservation Atlantic Tunas (ICCAT). ICCAT regional fisheries organization responsible conservation tunas other highly migratory fish Ocean its adjacent seas. The aim was identify prioritize uncertainties inclusion Operating Models Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE). tool presented this supports qualitative prioritization while also visualizing degree consensus among stakeholders particular issues. Perceptions often vary widely scientists, industry interest groups, so can facilitate representation different opinions are useful where decision-making depends broad agreement more generally, effective commitment stakeholders.

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