Rate of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Virus Transmission by Carriers Quantified from Experimental Data

作者: Aldo Dekker , Hans Vernooij , Annemarie Bouma , Arjan Stegeman

DOI: 10.1111/J.1539-6924.2008.01020.X

关键词: VirusFoot-and-mouth diseaseOutbreakPersistence (computer science)Confidence intervalFoot-and-mouth disease virusVaccinationTransmission (mechanics)BiologyVirology

摘要: Upon infection with foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDV) a considerable number of animals become carriers the virus. These are considered to be risk for new outbreaks, but rate at which these can transmit has not been quantified. An analysis was carried out using data from previously published experiments in order quantify transmission parameter s FMDV susceptible animals. The estimated 0.0256 (likelihood-based confidence interval: 0.008?0.059) infections per carrier month. Moreover, experimental indicates that proportion decreases 0.115 Both parameters obtained this study useful quantitative analyses trade FMDV-infected areas or lifting vaccination programs.

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