Prediction of Wintertime Northern Hemisphere Blocking by the NCEP Climate Forecast System

作者: Xiaolong Jia , Song Yang , Wenling Song , Bin He

DOI: 10.1007/S13351-014-3085-8

关键词: Northern HemisphereClimate Forecast SystemClimate patternMeteorologyForecast skillEnvironmental scienceClimatologyBlocking (statistics)

摘要: Daily output from the hindcasts by NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) is analyzed to understand CFSv2’s skill in forecasting wintertime atmospheric blocking Northern Hemisphere. Prediction skills of sector blocking, sector-blocking episodes, and onset/decay are assessed with a focus on Euro-Atlantic (20°W–45°E) Pacific (160°E–135°W). Features associated circulation climate patterns also examined.

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