A Maximum Entropy Multisource Information Fusion Method to Evaluate the MTBF of Low-Voltage Switchgear

作者: Jing-Qin Wang , Zhi-Gang Zhang , Ching-Hsin Wang , Li Wang

DOI: 10.1155/2018/2746871

关键词: Posterior probabilityComputer scienceBayesian probabilityPrinciple of maximum entropyMATLABTest methodMean time between failuresReliability engineeringSwitchgearBayesian network

摘要: When analyzing the reliability of low-voltage switchgear by Bayesian method, maximum entropy multisource information fusion method was proposed to obtain prior and then evaluate reliability. The historical data collected organized from a manufacturer. According expert experience data, creditability analysis compatibility test were presented Smirnov method. Based on high compatibility, result is determination information. Therefore, distribution type confirmed using parameter received bootstrap with MATLAB. Then posterior obtained MTBF switchgear. Finally, years 2007 2010 taken as illustrate get evaluation reduces experimental period cost, which an improvement for management also other systems simple sample data. Compared traditional networks, can fuse experts has advantages use effectively.

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