作者: Jing-Qin Wang , Zhi-Gang Zhang , Ching-Hsin Wang , Li Wang
DOI: 10.1155/2018/2746871
关键词: Posterior probability 、 Computer science 、 Bayesian probability 、 Principle of maximum entropy 、 MATLAB 、 Test method 、 Mean time between failures 、 Reliability engineering 、 Switchgear 、 Bayesian network
摘要: When analyzing the reliability of low-voltage switchgear by Bayesian method, maximum entropy multisource information fusion method was proposed to obtain prior and then evaluate reliability. The historical data collected organized from a manufacturer. According expert experience data, creditability analysis compatibility test were presented Smirnov method. Based on high compatibility, result is determination information. Therefore, distribution type confirmed using parameter received bootstrap with MATLAB. Then posterior obtained MTBF switchgear. Finally, years 2007 2010 taken as illustrate get evaluation reduces experimental period cost, which an improvement for management also other systems simple sample data. Compared traditional networks, can fuse experts has advantages use effectively.