The Balance-of-Payments-Constrained Growth Model and the Limits to Export-Led Growth

作者: Robert A. Blecker

DOI: 10.11644/KIEP.JEAI.2000.4.4.74

关键词: Relevance (law)Newly industrialized countryDeveloping countryBalance of paymentsMacroeconomicsFallacy of compositionEconomicsPost-Keynesian economicsGrowth modelAlmost ideal demand system

摘要: This paper discusses how A. P. Thirlwall's model of balance-of-payments-constrained growth can be adapted to analyze the idea a "fallacy composition" in export-led strategy many developing countries. The Deaton-Muellbauer Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) is used represent adding-up constraints on individual countries' exports, when they are all trying export competing products same foreign markets (i.e. newly industrializing countries exporting similar types manufactured goods OECD countries). relevance recent financial crises and policy alternatives for redirecting development strategies also discussed.

参考文章(19)
Robert A. Blecker, International Competitiveness, Relative Wages, and the Balance-Of-Payments Constraint Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. ,vol. 20, pp. 495- 526 ,(1998) , 10.1080/01603477.1998.11490166
John S.L. McCombie, On the Empirics of Balance-Of-Payments–Constrained Growth Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. ,vol. 19, pp. 345- 375 ,(1997) , 10.1080/01603477.1997.11490116
Bela Balassa, Exports and economic growth: Further evidence Journal of Development Economics. ,vol. 5, pp. 1- 10 ,(1978) , 10.1016/0304-3878(78)90006-8
Maurizio Pugno, The Stability of Thirlwall’s Model of Economic Growth and the Balance-Of-Payments Constraint Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. ,vol. 20, pp. 559- 581 ,(1998) , 10.1080/01603477.1998.11490168
Juan Carlos Moreno-Brid, On Capital Flows and The Balance-of-Payments-Constrained Growth Model Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. ,vol. 21, pp. 283- 298 ,(1998) , 10.1080/01603477.1998.11490194
Michael Michaely, Exports and growth: An empirical investigation Journal of Development Economics. ,vol. 4, pp. 49- 53 ,(1977) , 10.1016/0304-3878(77)90006-2
Robert Z. Lawrence, Gary R. Saxonhouse, Efficient or Exclusionist? The Import Behavior of Japanese Corporate Groups Brookings Papers on Economic Activity. ,vol. 1991, pp. 311- 341 ,(1991) , 10.2307/2534642
William R. Cline, Can the East Asian model of development be generalized World Development. ,vol. 10, pp. 81- 90 ,(1982) , 10.1016/0305-750X(82)90039-0
Clinton R. Shiells, David W. Roland-Hoist, Kenneth A. Reinert, Modeling a north American free trade area: Estimation of flexible functional forms Review of World Economics. ,vol. 129, pp. 55- 77 ,(1993) , 10.1007/BF02707487
Yilmaz Akyüz, Ha‐Joon Chang, Richard Kozul‐Wright, New perspectives on East Asian development Journal of Development Studies. ,vol. 34, pp. 4- 36 ,(1998) , 10.1080/00220389808422544