Associations between meteorology and COVID-19 in early studies: Inconsistencies, uncertainties, and recommendations

作者: Gaige Hunter Kerr , Hamada S Badr , Lauren M Gardner , Javier Perez-Saez , Benjamin F Zaitchik

DOI: 10.1016/J.ONEHLT.2021.100225

关键词: Environmental resource managementCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)GeographySeasonal transmissionVirus transmission2019-20 coronavirus outbreakFuture studiesSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Covariate

摘要: Meteorological variables, such as the ambient temperature and humidity, play a well-established role in seasonal transmission of respiratory viruses influenza temperate climates. Since onset novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, growing body literature has attempted to characterize sensitivity COVID-19 meteorological factors thus understand how changes weather seasonality may impede transmission. Here we select subset this literature, summarize diversity these studies' scopes methodologies, show lack consensus their conclusions on roles temperature, other dynamics. We discuss several aspects methodologies challenge direct comparisons across studies inflate importance further comment outstanding challenges for area research future might overcome them by carefully considering robust modeling approaches, adjusting mediating covariate effects, choosing appropriate scales analysis.

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