Booking Prediction Models for Peer-to-peer Accommodation Listings using Logistics Regression, Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Random Forest Classifiers

作者: Mochammad Agus Afrianto , Meditya Wasesa

DOI: 10.20473/JISEBI.6.2.123-132

关键词: StatisticsComputer scienceDecision treeAccommodationRandom forestPredictive modellingDecision tree modelLogistic regressionRevenue managementk-nearest neighbors algorithm

摘要: Background: Literature in the peer-to-peer accommodation has put a substantial focus on listings' price determinants. Developing prediction models related to demand for listings is vital revenue management because accurate and forecasts will help determine best responses. Objective: This study aims develop booking likelihood of listings. Methods: Using an Airbnb dataset, we developed four machine learning models, namely Logistics Regression, Decision Tree, K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Random Forest Classifiers. We assessed using AUC-ROC score model development time by ten-fold three-way split cross-validation procedures. Results: In terms average score, Classifiers outperformed other evaluated models. three-ways procedure, it had 15.03% higher than 2.93 % KNN, 2.38% Regression. 26,99% 4.41 3.31% Regression.  It should be noted that Tree lowest but smallest time. Conclusion: The performance random forest predicting most superior. can used owners improve their

参考文章(38)
Jeff Shields, Resturant Revenue Management: An Investigation into Changing Standard Operating Proceduresto Maximize Revenue Journal of Small Business Strategy. ,vol. 17, pp. 77- 86 ,(2006)
Basak Denizci Guillet, Ibrahim Mohammed, Revenue management research in hospitality and tourism: A critical review of current literature and suggestions for future research International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management. ,vol. 27, pp. 526- 560 ,(2015) , 10.1108/IJCHM-06-2014-0295
Anthony Owen Lee, Airline reservations forecasting--probabilistic and statistical models of the booking process Massachusetts Institute of Technology. ,(1990)
Richard A Olshen, Charles J Stone, Leo Breiman, Jerome H Friedman, Classification and regression trees ,(1983)
Jerome H. Friedman, Greedy function approximation: A gradient boosting machine. Annals of Statistics. ,vol. 29, pp. 1189- 1232 ,(2001) , 10.1214/AOS/1013203451
Stacey J. Winham, Robert R. Freimuth, Joanna M. Biernacka, A Weighted Random Forests Approach to Improve Predictive Performance Statistical Analysis and Data Mining. ,vol. 6, pp. 496- 505 ,(2013) , 10.1002/SAM.11196
Stanislav Hristov Ivanov, Hotel Revenue Management: From Theory to Practice Social Science Research Network. ,(2014)
Hasan Selim, Determinants of house prices in Turkey: Hedonic regression versus artificial neural network Expert Systems With Applications. ,vol. 36, pp. 2843- 2852 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.ESWA.2008.01.044
Christine Lim, Chialin Chang, Michael McAleer, Forecasting h(m)otel guest nights in New Zealand International Journal of Hospitality Management. ,vol. 28, pp. 228- 235 ,(2009) , 10.1016/J.IJHM.2008.08.001
Chao-Ying Joanne Peng, Kuk Lida Lee, Gary M. Ingersoll, An Introduction to Logistic Regression Analysis and Reporting Journal of Educational Research. ,vol. 96, pp. 3- 14 ,(2002) , 10.1080/00220670209598786