Changes in extreme hydrological events

作者: Yaning Chen , Huaijun Wang , Guili Sun

DOI: 10.1007/978-94-017-8017-9_10

关键词: Environmental scienceTarim basinAridStreamflowClimatologyPrecipitation frequencyMaximum temperaturePrecipitationMagnitude (mathematics)Structural basin

摘要: There has been a paucity of information on trends in hydrological extremes. Based daily precipitation and temperature streamflow records the arid region, northwest China, temporal spatial characteristics extremes were analyzed during 1960–2010. The results showed that: (1) show patterns consistent with warming, large proportion stations showing statistically significant trends. Warming indices derived from minimum are greater magnitudes than those maximum temperature. decreases frequency for cold mainly occur summer autumn, while warm increases autumn winter; (2) Most exhibited increasing across increase region was due to both intensity; (3) extreme events 1901 2010, particularly post 1970s. Extreme occurred summer. obtained this study, frequency, magnitude, intensity expected over time; (4) Frequency distribution general symmetry along Tianshan Mountains, distributed evenly Junggar Basin Tarim Basin. More observed north-west that southeast. incidence west Mountains generally decreased south-eastward.

参考文章(89)
丁一汇, 王遵娅, 宋亚芳, 张锦, None, The Unprecedented Freezing Disaster in January 2008 in Southern China and Its Possible Association with the Global Warming 气象学报:英文版. ,vol. 22, pp. 538- 558 ,(2008)
M Türkeş, UM Sümer, Spatial and temporal patterns of trends and variability in diurnal temperature ranges of Turkey Theoretical and Applied Climatology. ,vol. 77, pp. 195- 227 ,(2004) , 10.1007/S00704-003-0024-5
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Climate Change 2007 Barker, Terry; Bashmakov, Igor; Alharthi, Awwad; Ammann, Markus; Cifuentes, Luis; Drexhage, John; Maosheng, Duan; Edenhofer, Ottmar; Flannery, Brian; Grubb, Michael; Hoogwijk, Monique; Ibitoye, Francis; Jepma, Catrinus; Pizer, William; Yamaji, Kenji; Awerbuch, Shimon; Bernstein, Lenny; Faaij, Andre; Hayami, Hitoshi; Heggedal, Tom; Kverndokk, Snorre; Latham, John; Michaelowa, Axel; Popp, David; Read, Peter; Schleicher, Stefan; Smith, Mike; Toth, Ferenc (2007). Mitigation from a cross-sectoral perspectiv. In: Metz, Bert; Davidson, Ogunlade; Bosch, Peter; Dave, Rutu; Meyer, Leo. Climate change 2007: mitigation of climate change. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 619-690.. pp. 619- 690 ,(2007) , 10.1017/CBO9780511546013
B. Chen, W. C. Chao, X. Liu, Enhanced climatic warming in the Tibetan Plateau due to doubling CO2: a model study Climate Dynamics. ,vol. 20, pp. 401- 413 ,(2003) , 10.1007/S00382-002-0282-4
Dian J. Seidel, Melissa Free, Comparison of Lower-Tropospheric Temperature Climatologies and Trends at Low and High Elevation Radiosonde Sites Advances in Global Change Research. ,vol. 59, pp. 53- 74 ,(2003) , 10.1007/978-94-015-1252-7_4
Huaijun Wang, Yaning Chen, Zhongsheng Chen, None, Spatial distribution and temporal trends of mean precipitation and extremes in the arid region, northwest of China, during 1960-2010 Hydrological Processes. ,vol. 27, pp. 1807- 1818 ,(2013) , 10.1002/HYP.9339
P Frich, LV Alexander, P Della-Marta, B Gleason, M Haylock, AMG Klein Tank, T Peterson, Observed coherent changes in climatic extremes during the second half of the twentieth century Climate Research. ,vol. 19, pp. 193- 212 ,(2002) , 10.3354/CR019193
Michael J Manton, Trends in climate extremes affecting human settlements Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability. ,vol. 2, pp. 151- 155 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.COSUST.2010.05.001
J. Caesar, L. V. Alexander, B. Trewin, K. Tse-ring, L. Sorany, V. Vuniyayawa, N. Keosavang, A. Shimana, M. M. Htay, J. Karmacharya, D. A. Jayasinghearachchi, J. Sakkamart, E. Soares, L. T. Hung, L. T. Thuong, C. T. Hue, N. T. T. Dung, P. V. Hung, H. D. Cuong, N. M. Cuong, S. Sirabaha, Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes over the Indo‐Pacific region from 1971 to 2005 International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 31, pp. 791- 801 ,(2011) , 10.1002/JOC.2118