Thyroid cancer mortality in Brazil and its geographic regions: mortality trends and projections until 2030

作者: Dyego Leandro Bezerra de Souza , Isabelle Ribeiro Barbosa , Samara Carollyne Mafra Soares , Héllyda de Souza Bezerra , Fábia Cheyenne Gomes de Morais Fernandes

DOI: 10.5902/2236583441608

关键词: Mortality trendsEcological studyDemographic structureGeographic regionsThyroid cancerFemale sexJoinpoint regressionDemographyMortality rateMedicine

摘要: The objective of this study was to analyze temporal trends for thyroid cancer mortality in Brazil and its geographic regions, the period 2001-2015, calculate projections until 2030. Methods: An ecological is presented herein on cancer-related deaths Brazil, based registries Mortality Information System. were analyzed by Joinpoint regression, Nordpred software (within R program) utilized calculation projections. Results: adjusted rate (ASW) 0.48 deaths/100,000 inhabitants obtained women 0.27 men, with a significant decreasing trend female sex (APC= -1.6; CI95%: -2.5; -0.6), while male rates decreased non-significantly -0.5; -1.5; 0.5). present projection For sex, same characteristic observed, however North Northeast regions increasing projections, these numbers are mainly explained variation Brazilian demographic structure. Conclusions:  Thyroid decreases, more pronounced sex.

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