A visual test for a unit root: Geary's count of sign changes revisited

作者: Patrick Honohan , R. C. Geary

DOI:

关键词: Square rootSign (mathematics)Series (mathematics)MathematicsSample size determinationUnit rootContext (language use)Visual testStatistics

摘要: Prompted by Geary's (1970) suggestion in a different context, the stationarity of plotted time series can be assessed simply counting number times plot crosses trend line linking first and last observations. The 95 per cent critical value is conveniently approximated twice square root sample size. Despite its simplicity, test has surprisingly good power.

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